‘Historic’ Mechanical Royalty increases, inflation adjustments explained [Chris Castle]
A look at the historic rate increases in mechanical rates for physical and permanent downloads coming over the next year as well as the inflation-related increases likely to follow.
by CHRIS CASTLE of Music Tech Policy
We’re about to experience an historical event—the U.S. government’s statutory mechanical rate for physical and permanent downloads will increase twice in 12 months. This is because the record companies agreed in “Phonorecords IV” to raise the statutory mechanical rate from 9.1¢ to 12¢ for physical and permanent downloads (with corresponding long-song royalties) effective January 1, 2023.
This is quite a change from the frozen rate that lasted for 17 years. Not only did the labels agree to increase the rate to 12¢, they agreed to index that increased rate to inflation annually starting in 2024.
Indexing requires increasing the 12¢ rate to current inflation based on a “COLA” or “cost of living adjustment” by applying an uplift formula to the 12¢ rate. That formula itself is a function of the Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index which itself comes in a number of varieties. A common version of CPI that the record companies agreed to is the “Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (U.S. City Average, all items),” or “CPI-U.” The CPI-U is weighted toward the cost of living for urban consumers. (Compare CPI-U to the “CPI-W” or Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers which is used by Social Security, for example.)
We have experienced a time of high inflation for the last few years and given the indicators, we are likely to continue to suffer with inflation for years to come. So the labels’ agreement to a COLA protects the purchasing power of the hard-won mechanical royalty for physical and downloads and may end up being a critical deal point over the 5 year rate period covered by Phonorecords IV.
The statutory basis for the COLA is found in 37 CFR §385.11(a)(2):
Annual rate adjustment. The Copyright Royalty Judges shall adjust the royalty rates in paragraph (a)(1) of this section each year to reflect any changes occurring in the cost of living as determined by the most recent Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (U.S. City Average, all items) (CPI–U) published by the Secretary of Labor before December 1 of the preceding year. The calculation of the rate for each year shall be cumulative based on a calculation of the percentage increase in the CPI–U from the CPI–U published in November, 2022 (the Base Rate) and shall be made according to the following formulas: for the per-work rate, (1 + (Cy−Base Rate)/Base Rate) × 12¢, rounded to the nearest tenth of a cent; for the per-minute rate, (1 + (Cy−Base Rate)/Base Rate) × 2.31¢, rounded to the nearest hundredth of a cent; where Cy is the CPI–U published by the Secretary of Labor before December 1 of the preceding year. The Judges shall publish notice of the adjusted fees in the Federal Register at least 25 days before January 1. The adjusted fees shall be effective on January 1.
One must have the published CPI-U in order to make the COLA calculation. The CPI is published by Bureau of Labor Statistics (technically “by the Secretary of Labor”) on a regularly published schedule. If the regulations require that the relevant CPI-U must be published before December 1, that will be the CPI-U for October to be published next week on November 14 because the CPI-U for November won’t be published until December 12 (which of course is after December 1).
According to the Cleveland Federal Reserve, month over month inflation for November is projected to be pretty much the same as October. So based on the Phonorecords IV Subpart B formula, the minimum statutory rate will likely increase from 12¢ to approximately 12.41¢ starting January 1.
Keep an eye out for the October CPI-U next week when it is announced by BLS at 8:30am ET on November 14. The Copyright Royalty Board is to publish the new COLA-adjusted mechanical rate in the Federal Register, on or about December 8. And remember that the same calculation with then-current CPI-U will apply in December 2024, 2025, 2026 and 2027.
Remember, this COLA rate increase only applies to physical and permanent download configurations, not to streaming. This is because the services refused to engage on the topic. There’s really no good explanation for why the streaming services refused to give a COLA. A COLA really should be mandatory given that the government essentially takes away the songwriters’ ability to bargain for their inflation expectations during a five year rate period.
