10 Issues Facing The Music Industry
THE BEST OF HYPEBOT:
WHAT ISSUES NEED TO BE CONFRONTED?
Here, in no particular order, are what I believe to be the Top 10 issues shaping Music 2.0. How they develop will determine what the music industry looks in 5 or 10 years. Ignore them at you peril.
- THE DEATH OF THE ALBUM – Individual track downloads are killing the album market and the revenue that it once created. Can the album be saved? Should artists release in 1 to 3 track clusters?
- MUSIC TAXES – Is "taxing" music at the device and/or ISP level the answer? Or are these taxes unfair and further erode consumer trust?
- MUSIC AS A SERVICE – We used to call music "product". Did the pendulum swing to far in that direction? Or is music a service – subscriptions, "Comes With Music", optional ISP licensing?
- MOBILE – Will more and more music be bought an enjoyed via mobile devices? How does that effect the music?
- NEW REVENUE SOURCES – From YouTube to imeem and We7 to Nokia, revenue is being generated everywhere. Who will be sending big checks to labels in 5 years and how will that revenue be distributed?
- NO ONE BUSINESS MODEL – It used to be that record labels made money selling records and bands made money live. Is the future more varied: NIN, Radiohead, 360 deals, and partnerships with brands?
- 1000 TRUE FANS – Whether you need a thousand, 10,000 or even 100,000 true fans, how do you find, service and monetize a fan base?
- THE RISE OF THE MUSICAL MIDDLE CLASS – Do fractured media and short attention spans mean the superstar is dead? What new companies will rise to service and profit from a growing middle class of musicians with fewer fans but longer careers?
- THE DEMOCRATIZATION OF MUSIC DISCOVERY – Once DJ’s told us what to like. Now our friends do or we discover it ourselves and share the news. How does that change how music is marketed?
- THE POWER OF LIVE – Is performing more important than ever? You can’t copy it and it’s a great place to build community and sell stuff. Or is that a music 1.0 notion and Twitter the new barstool?
Is there a number 11?
11) copyright!
-Mark (www.theenrighthouse.com)
the new kid rock album shows that the album sales aren’t dead, and the fact that none of it is on iTunes is proof of this – it’s sold 1.3 million full-lengths
Hey! This is a very well thoughout list of reason why the music industry is in the crapper. I have put a link to this on my blog because I like it so much. Keep up the good work and the insightful posts.
Peace,
JBone
Very useful
Very useful
1. THE DEATH OF THE ALBUM – Individual track downloads are killing
the album market and the revenue that it once created. Can the album
be saved? Should artists release in 1 to 3 track clusters?
A: Yes. Only going back to a multi-song basic unit of music for
purchase will grow the “art” of music. And that goes for
downloading. Each artist should be able to declare how small a
cluster they will sell as a minimum unit. Maybe old Four Song
EP was a good unit or cluster and iTunes, etc. should make a rule
that if the artist asks for that as the minimum sized cluster that
iTunes can sell of their music, so be it. Art isn’t just 3:00 minutes long.
2. MUSIC TAXES – Is “taxing” music at the device and/or ISP level
the answer? Or are these taxes unfair and further erode consumer trust?
A: Taxing music is just as hard (or easy) to do as tabulating which
specific songs are downloaded, and by whom, and charging for those
identified songs, so NO Taxes, charge per tune, and make the tune
prices (or cluster prices) be able to be set by the creators, from
Zero cents a track to $10 a track, whatever the music owner wants to charge.
3. MUSIC AS A SERVICE – We used to call music “product”. Did the
pendulum swing to far in that direction? Or is music a service –
subscriptions, “Comes With Music”, optional ISP licensing?
A: Selling unlimited music with a hardware device (for some finite
time) with the tariff being hidden in the hardware cost is just
another music tax. No. Biggest problem is that the tax is overall
and doesn’t reward the specfic music that is actually played the
most. Hence the motivation for making better or more popular music
goes away, since the “tax” doesn’t differentiate between
artists. (Kind of like why government services are never as good as
private industry.)
4. MOBILE – Will more and more music be bought an enjoyed via
mobile devices? How does that effect the music?
A: It will be enjoyed via mobile devices and guess what, that’s the
1958 transistor radio all over again. This will promote hit
“singles” and should be free in many cases due to the promotional
factor. The mobile device should be able to let the customer
purchase the music, but also stream free new music at will.
5. NEW REVENUE SOURCES – From YouTube to imeem and We7 to Nokia,
revenue is being generated everywhere. Who will be sending big checks
to labels in 5 years and how will that revenue be distributed?
A: In five years, music will be being sold in more places than ever.
It will be distributed, as in all capitalistic societies, to the
creators of the product that is most in demand. To the hits and
hitmakers, which means the artists, the labels, the song publishers.
6. NO ONE BUSINESS MODEL – It used to be that record labels made
money selling records and bands made money live. Is the future more
varied: NIN, Radiohead, 360 deals, and partnerships with brands?
A: Yes.
7. 1000 TRUE FANS – Whether you need a thousand, 10,000 or even
100,000 true fans, how do you find, service and monetize a fan base?
A: Charge them for exclusivity and intimacy with the
artists. Backstage passes, much higher quality artwork, private
invitations for streamed live shows, super early bird special
pre-releases, and so forth.
8. THE RISE OF THE MUSICAL MIDDLE CLASS – Do fractured media and
short attention spans mean the superstar is dead? What new companies
will rise to service and profit from a growing middle class of
musicians with fewer fans but longer careers?
A: Not true, it’s been proven that there is a diminishing musical middle class
(see Coolfer’s analysis at http://www.coolfer.com/blog/archives/2007/07/the_demise_of_t_2.php and the Harvard Business study of digital media by Anita Elberse)
In fact a widening Power Law is in effect. The samll long tail sales are OK, but the “middle class”
(the 100,000 sellers and less) are dropping in sales. The top sellers are holding
well, but middle class was an artifact of people restocking their CD
shelves in the day; that doesn’t exist that much in the new digital musical reality.
9. THE DEMOCRATIZATION OF MUSIC DISCOVERY – Once DJ’s told us
what to like. Now our friends do or we discover it ourselves and
share the news. How does that change how music is marketed?
A: Word of mouth is OK, but from colleges to go to, to the stock market, it’s
human nature to seek experts (not friends) to inform us, filter for
us. There will be new “disk jockeys” and they won’t be bloggers, it
will be some kind of reputable digital “place” (About The Music?) as
well as whatever the equivalent of disk jockeys are, on the web of the future.
Don’t think long tail here, the Power Law prevails where new choices are made.
10. THE POWER OF LIVE – Is performing more important than ever?
You can’t copy it and it’s a great place to build community and sell
stuff. Or is that a music 1.0 notion and Twitter the new barstool?
A: Performing is always incredibly important, now more than ever, but the
secret is to perform in a way that’s unforgettable and dramatic and
vivid. A great show has no substitute.
George Daly, About Records, Mill Valley, CA