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10 Issues Facing The Music Industry

THE BEST OF HYPEBOT:

WHAT ISSUES NEED TO BE CONFRONTED?

Here, in no particular order, are what I believe to be the Top 10 issues shaping Music 2.0.  How they develop will determine what the music industry looks in 5 or 10 years. Ignore them at you peril.

  1. THE DEATH OF THE ALBUM – Individual track downloads are killing the album market and the revenue that it once created. Can the album be saved? Should artists release in 1 to 3 track clusters?
  2. MUSIC TAXES – Is "taxing" music at the device and/or ISP level the answer? Or are these taxes unfair and further erode consumer trust?
  3. MUSIC AS A SERVICE – We used to call music "product".  Did the pendulum swing to far in that direction? Or is music a service – subscriptions, "Comes With Music", optional ISP licensing?
  4. MOBILE – Will more and more music be bought an enjoyed via mobile devices? How does that effect the music?
  5. NEW REVENUE SOURCES – From YouTube to imeem and We7 to Nokia, revenue is being generated everywhere. Who will be sending big checks to labels in 5 years and how will that revenue be distributed? 
  6. NO ONE BUSINESS MODEL – It used to be that record labels made money selling records and bands made money live.  Is the future more varied: NIN, Radiohead, 360 deals, and partnerships with brands?
  7. 1000 TRUE FANS – Whether you need a thousand, 10,000 or even 100,000 true fans, how do you find, service and monetize a fan base?
  8. THE RISE OF THE MUSICAL MIDDLE CLASS – Do fractured media and short attention spans mean the superstar is dead? What new companies will rise to service and profit from a growing middle class of musicians with fewer fans but longer careers?
  9. THE DEMOCRATIZATION OF MUSIC DISCOVERY – Once DJ’s told us what to like. Now our friends do or we discover it ourselves and share the news.  How does that change how music is marketed?
  10. THE POWER OF LIVE – Is performing more important than ever? You can’t copy it and it’s a great place to build community and sell stuff. Or is that a music 1.0 notion and Twitter the new barstool?

Is there a number 11?

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6 Comments

  1. the new kid rock album shows that the album sales aren’t dead, and the fact that none of it is on iTunes is proof of this – it’s sold 1.3 million full-lengths

  2. Hey! This is a very well thoughout list of reason why the music industry is in the crapper. I have put a link to this on my blog because I like it so much. Keep up the good work and the insightful posts.
    Peace,
    JBone

  3. 1. THE DEATH OF THE ALBUM – Individual track downloads are killing
    the album market and the revenue that it once created. Can the album
    be saved? Should artists release in 1 to 3 track clusters?
    A: Yes. Only going back to a multi-song basic unit of music for
    purchase will grow the “art” of music. And that goes for
    downloading. Each artist should be able to declare how small a
    cluster they will sell as a minimum unit. Maybe old Four Song
    EP was a good unit or cluster and iTunes, etc. should make a rule
    that if the artist asks for that as the minimum sized cluster that
    iTunes can sell of their music, so be it. Art isn’t just 3:00 minutes long.
    2. MUSIC TAXES – Is “taxing” music at the device and/or ISP level
    the answer? Or are these taxes unfair and further erode consumer trust?
    A: Taxing music is just as hard (or easy) to do as tabulating which
    specific songs are downloaded, and by whom, and charging for those
    identified songs, so NO Taxes, charge per tune, and make the tune
    prices (or cluster prices) be able to be set by the creators, from
    Zero cents a track to $10 a track, whatever the music owner wants to charge.
    3. MUSIC AS A SERVICE – We used to call music “product”. Did the
    pendulum swing to far in that direction? Or is music a service –
    subscriptions, “Comes With Music”, optional ISP licensing?
    A: Selling unlimited music with a hardware device (for some finite
    time) with the tariff being hidden in the hardware cost is just
    another music tax. No. Biggest problem is that the tax is overall
    and doesn’t reward the specfic music that is actually played the
    most. Hence the motivation for making better or more popular music
    goes away, since the “tax” doesn’t differentiate between
    artists. (Kind of like why government services are never as good as
    private industry.)
    4. MOBILE – Will more and more music be bought an enjoyed via
    mobile devices? How does that effect the music?
    A: It will be enjoyed via mobile devices and guess what, that’s the
    1958 transistor radio all over again. This will promote hit
    “singles” and should be free in many cases due to the promotional
    factor. The mobile device should be able to let the customer
    purchase the music, but also stream free new music at will.
    5. NEW REVENUE SOURCES – From YouTube to imeem and We7 to Nokia,
    revenue is being generated everywhere. Who will be sending big checks
    to labels in 5 years and how will that revenue be distributed?
    A: In five years, music will be being sold in more places than ever.
    It will be distributed, as in all capitalistic societies, to the
    creators of the product that is most in demand. To the hits and
    hitmakers, which means the artists, the labels, the song publishers.
    6. NO ONE BUSINESS MODEL – It used to be that record labels made
    money selling records and bands made money live. Is the future more
    varied: NIN, Radiohead, 360 deals, and partnerships with brands?
    A: Yes.
    7. 1000 TRUE FANS – Whether you need a thousand, 10,000 or even
    100,000 true fans, how do you find, service and monetize a fan base?
    A: Charge them for exclusivity and intimacy with the
    artists. Backstage passes, much higher quality artwork, private
    invitations for streamed live shows, super early bird special
    pre-releases, and so forth.
    8. THE RISE OF THE MUSICAL MIDDLE CLASS – Do fractured media and
    short attention spans mean the superstar is dead? What new companies
    will rise to service and profit from a growing middle class of
    musicians with fewer fans but longer careers?
    A: Not true, it’s been proven that there is a diminishing musical middle class
    (see Coolfer’s analysis at http://www.coolfer.com/blog/archives/2007/07/the_demise_of_t_2.php and the Harvard Business study of digital media by Anita Elberse)
    In fact a widening Power Law is in effect. The samll long tail sales are OK, but the “middle class”
    (the 100,000 sellers and less) are dropping in sales. The top sellers are holding
    well, but middle class was an artifact of people restocking their CD
    shelves in the day; that doesn’t exist that much in the new digital musical reality.
    9. THE DEMOCRATIZATION OF MUSIC DISCOVERY – Once DJ’s told us
    what to like. Now our friends do or we discover it ourselves and
    share the news. How does that change how music is marketed?
    A: Word of mouth is OK, but from colleges to go to, to the stock market, it’s
    human nature to seek experts (not friends) to inform us, filter for
    us. There will be new “disk jockeys” and they won’t be bloggers, it
    will be some kind of reputable digital “place” (About The Music?) as
    well as whatever the equivalent of disk jockeys are, on the web of the future.
    Don’t think long tail here, the Power Law prevails where new choices are made.
    10. THE POWER OF LIVE – Is performing more important than ever?
    You can’t copy it and it’s a great place to build community and sell
    stuff. Or is that a music 1.0 notion and Twitter the new barstool?
    A: Performing is always incredibly important, now more than ever, but the
    secret is to perform in a way that’s unforgettable and dramatic and
    vivid. A great show has no substitute.
    George Daly, About Records, Mill Valley, CA

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